广发国债期货日评:资金面宽松,期债整体走暖

【市场表现】

国债期货高开高走尾盘涨幅收窄,10年期主力合约收盘涨0.14%,盘中一度涨0.34%;5年期主力合约涨0.13%,盘中一度涨0.31%;2年期主力合约涨0.07%,盘中一度涨0.13%。银行间主要利率债收益率盘初明显下行,尾盘降幅收窄。截至17:00,10年期国开活跃券“22国开15”收益率下行1.5bp,盘中一度下行2.75bp;10年期国债活跃券“22附息国债19”收益率持平上日中债估值,盘中一度下行2bp;5年期国开活跃券“22国开08”收益率下行2.25bp,盘中一度下行5bp;3年期国开活跃券“20国开12”收益率下行2bp,盘中一度下行7bp。

【资金面】

公开市场方面,央行开展30亿元公开市场逆回购操作,当日有50亿元逆回购到期,净回笼20亿元。资金面方面,银行间市场周一资金面进一步转松,隔夜回购加权利率续跌逾24bp至1.1%附近。长期资金方面,全国和主要股份制银行一年期同业存单最新报价集中集中在2.47%,与上周五水平接近;二级市场同期限存单利率在2.5%附近有成交。资金供给极为充裕,但近期流动性波动加大,市场心态较为谨慎。继续观察长期资金走向。

【消息面】

央行拟向商业银行提供2000亿元免息再贷款。据第一财经,央行近期拟发布保交楼贷款支持计划,至2023年3月31日前,央行将向商业银行提供2000亿元免息再贷款,支持商业银行提供配套资金用于支持“保交楼”,封闭运行、专款专用。支持范围包括两个方面:一是为“保交楼”专项纾困政策提供配套融资;二是推动化解未交楼个人住房贷款风险,支持已出售、但逾期未交付,并经过金融管理部门认定的项目加快建设交付。央行、银保监会联合召开全国性商业银行信贷工作座谈会,要求全力做好稳投资促消费保民生各项金融服务,加大对重点领域、薄弱环节和受疫情影响行业群体的信贷支持力度,全力推动经济进一步回稳向上。保持房地产融资平稳有序,稳定房地产企业开发贷款、建筑企业贷款投放,支持个人住房贷款合理需求,支持开发贷款、信托贷款等存量融资在保证债权安全的前提下合理展期。

【操作建议】

资金面明显转松,期债整体走强。当前处在稳增长强预期与基本面弱现实交织的阶段,10月新增社融低于预期,地产销售尚未有明显起色,后续政策落地实施效果有待观察,且如果社融连续走弱降准降息仍有可能,因此并不意味着期债走向单边下跌,当前可能出现强预期与弱现实交替主导行情的情况,期债波动幅度将明显放大。中期期债走势仍需经济基本面定调。当前资金面明显转松,债市情绪企稳后开始修复此前的超跌,期债或出现阶段性反弹,继续关注资金利率走势,如果隔夜资金利率维持在1.5%下方,期债存在进一步修复空间,10年期国债利率预计可下行至1年期MLF利率2.75%附近。激进投资者可短线参与逢低试多,继续关注资金面变化情况。

关于作者: rxbzu

  九、中国人民银行在现金机具识别新版人民币方面做了哪些准备?  对于银行现金机具,中国人民银行已组织金融机构及现金机具企业开展升级筹备工作,确保发行后银行现金机具可识别新版人民币。

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  • http://ewerk-freiburg.de/?action=SEARCH&s=%E5%8A%9ENUI%E6%AF%95%E4%B8%9A%E8%AF%81%E4%B9%A6%E5%88%B6%E4%BD%9C%E7%88%B1%E5%B0%94%E5%85%B0%E5%9B%BD%E7%AB%8B%E5%A4%A7%E5%AD%A6%E5%81%87%E6%96%87%E5%87%AD%E5%AE%9A%E5%88%B6QQ%E5%BE%AE%E4%BF%A1229%208881%E5%8A%9ENUI%E7%95%99%E4%BF%A1%E7%BD%91%E6%95%99%E7%95%99%E6%9C%8D%E8%AE%A4%E8%AF%81%E6%B5%B7%E7%89%99%E8%AE%A4%E8%AF%81%E6%94%B9NUI%E6%88%90%E7%BB%A9%E5%8D%95GPA%E5%8A%9ENUI%E9%AB%98%E4%BB%BF%E5%AD%A6%E4%BD%8D%E8%AF%81%E6%AF%95%E4%B8%9A%E8%AF%81%E7%94%B5%E5%AD%90%E7%89%88ID%E9%A9%BE%E7%85%A7%E5%A6%82%E4%BD%95%E7%94%B3%E8%AF%B7%E7%88%B1%E5%B0%94%E5%85%B0%E5%9B%BD%E7%AB%8B%E5%A4%A7%E5%AD%A6National%20University%20of%20Ireland%20Diploma%20Degree%20Transcript,zBM
  • https://autoecoleoualli.com/search/FDU%E6%AF%95%E4%B8%9A%E8%AF%81%E4%B9%A6%E5%88%B6%E4%BD%9C%E8%8F%B2%E5%B0%94%E8%8E%B1%E7%8B%84%E6%9B%B4%E6%96%AF%E5%A4%A7%E5%AD%A6%E5%81%87%E6%96%87%E5%87%AD%E5%AE%9A%E5%88%B6QQ%E5%BE%AE%E4%BF%A1229%208881%E5%81%9AFDU%E7%95%99%E4%BF%A1%E7%BD%91%E6%95%99%E7%95%99%E6%9C%8D%E8%AE%A4%E8%AF%81%E6%B5%B7%E7%89%99%E8%AE%A4%E8%AF%81%E6%94%B9FDU%E6%88%90%E7%BB%A9%E5%8D%95GPA%E5%81%9AFDU%E5%81%87%E5%AD%A6%E4%BD%8D%E8%AF%81%E5%81%87%E6%96%87%E5%87%AD%E9%AB%98%E4%BB%BF%E6%AF%95%E4%B8%9A%E8%AF%81GRE%E4%BB%A3%E8%80%83%E5%A6%82%E4%BD%95%E7%94%B3%E8%AF%B7%E8%8F%B2%E5%B0%94%E8%8E%B1%E7%8B%84%E6%9B%B4%E6%96%AF%E5%A4%A7%E5%AD%A6Fairleigh%20Dickinson%20University%20degree%20offer%20diploma%20Transcript,r3b
  • https://all33.com/collections/vendors?q=%E5%8A%9ESUSS%E6%AF%95%E4%B8%9A%E8%AF%81%E4%B9%A6%E5%88%B6%E4%BD%9C%E6%96%B0%E5%8A%A0%E5%9D%A1%E6%96%B0%E8%B7%83%E7%A4%BE%E7%A7%91%E5%A4%A7%E5%AD%A6%E5%81%87%E6%96%87%E5%87%AD%E5%AE%9A%E5%88%B6QQ%E5%BE%AE%E4%BF%A1229%208881%E5%8A%9E%E6%96%B0%E7%A4%BE%E7%A7%91%E5%A4%A7%E7%95%99%E4%BF%A1%E7%BD%91%E6%95%99%E7%95%99%E6%9C%8D%E8%AE%A4%E8%AF%81%E6%B5%B7%E7%89%99%E8%AE%A4%E8%AF%81%E6%94%B9SUSS%E6%88%90%E7%BB%A9%E5%8D%95GPA%E5%8A%9ESUSS%E9%AB%98%E4%BB%BF%E5%AD%A6%E4%BD%8D%E8%AF%81%E6%AF%95%E4%B8%9A%E8%AF%81%E7%94%B5%E5%AD%90%E7%89%88ID%E9%A9%BE%E7%85%A7%E5%A6%82%E4%BD%95%E7%94%B3%E8%AF%B7%E6%96%B0%E7%A4%BE%E7%A7%91%E5%A4%A7Singapore%20University%20of%20Social%20Sciences%20Diploma%20Degree%20Transcript,v9K
  • https://af-za.facebook.com/watch/explore/Chester%E6%AF%95%E4%B8%9A%E8%AF%81%E4%B9%A6%E5%88%B6%E4%BD%9C%E5%88%87%E6%96%AF%E7%89%B9%E5%A4%A7%E5%AD%A6%E5%81%87%E6%96%87%E5%87%AD%E5%AE%9A%E5%88%B6QQ%E5%BE%AE%E4%BF%A1229%208881%E5%81%9AChester%E7%95%99%E4%BF%A1%E7%BD%91%E6%95%99%E7%95%99%E6%9C%8D%E8%AE%A4%E8%AF%81%E6%B5%B7%E7%89%99%E8%AE%A4%E8%AF%81%E6%94%B9Chester%E6%88%90%E7%BB%A9%E5%8D%95GPA%E5%81%9AChester%E5%81%87%E5%AD%A6%E4%BD%8D%E8%AF%81%E5%81%87%E6%96%87%E5%87%AD%E9%AB%98%E4%BB%BF%E6%AF%95%E4%B8%9A%E8%AF%81%E7%94%B3%E8%AF%B7%E5%88%87%E6%96%AF%E7%89%B9%E5%A4%A7%E5%AD%A6University%20of%20Chester%20degree%20offer%20diploma%20Transcript,DCm
  • https://acrmc.com/?s=USD%E6%AF%95%E4%B8%9A%E8%AF%81%E4%B9%A6%E5%88%B6%E4%BD%9C%E5%9C%A3%E5%9C%B0%E4%BA%9A%E5%93%A5%E5%A4%A7%E5%AD%A6%E5%81%87%E6%96%87%E5%87%AD%E5%AE%9A%E5%88%B6QQ%E5%BE%AE%E4%BF%A1229%208881%E5%81%9AUSD%E7%95%99%E4%BF%A1%E7%BD%91%E6%95%99%E7%95%99%E6%9C%8D%E8%AE%A4%E8%AF%81%E6%B5%B7%E7%89%99%E8%AE%A4%E8%AF%81%E6%94%B9USD%E6%88%90%E7%BB%A9%E5%8D%95GPA%E5%81%9AUSD%E5%81%87%E5%AD%A6%E4%BD%8D%E8%AF%81%E5%81%87%E6%96%87%E5%87%AD%E9%AB%98%E4%BB%BF%E6%AF%95%E4%B8%9A%E8%AF%81GRE%E4%BB%A3%E8%80%83%E5%A6%82%E4%BD%95%E7%94%B3%E8%AF%B7%E5%9C%A3%E5%9C%B0%E4%BA%9A%E5%93%A5%E5%A4%A7%E5%AD%A6University%20of%20San%20Diego%20degree%20offer%20diploma%20Transcript,XPf
  • http://webmonitor.fyxm.net/www.%E5%8A%9EUMHB%E6%AF%95%E4%B8%9A%E8%AF%81%E4%B9%A6%E5%88%B6%E4%BD%9C%E7%BE%8E%E5%9B%BD%E7%8E%9B%E4%B8%BD%E5%93%88%E4%B8%81%E8%B4%9D%E5%8B%92%E5%A4%A7%E5%AD%A6%E5%81%87%E6%96%87%E5%87%AD%E5%AE%9A%E5%88%B6QQ%E5%BE%AE%E4%BF%A1229%208881%E5%8A%9EUMHB%E7%95%99%E4%BF%A1%E7%BD%91%E6%95%99%E7%95%99%E6%9C%8D%E8%AE%A4%E8%AF%81%E6%B5%B7%E7%89%99%E8%AE%A4%E8%AF%81%E6%94%B9UMHB%E6%88%90%E7%BB%A9%E5%8D%95GPA%E5%8A%9EUMHB%E9%AB%98%E4%BB%BF%E5%AD%A6%E4%BD%8D%E8%AF%81%E6%AF%95%E4%B8%9A%E8%AF%81%E7%94%B5%E5%AD%90%E7%89%88ID%E9%A9%BE%E7%85%A7%E5%A6%82%E4%BD%95%E7%94%B3%E8%AF%B7%E7%8E%9B%E4%B8%BD%E5%93%88%E4%B8%81%E8%B4%9D%E5%8B%92%E5%A4%A7%E5%AD%A6University%20of%20Mary%20Hardin-Baylor%20Diploma%20Degree%20Transcript,kBx
  • https://atlasfcshop.mx/collections/vendors?q=AU%E6%AF%95%E4%B8%9A%E8%AF%81%E4%B9%A6%E5%88%B6%E4%BD%9C%E9%98%BF%E8%90%A8%E5%B7%B4%E6%96%AF%E5%8D%A1%E5%A4%A7%E5%AD%A6%E5%81%87%E6%96%87%E5%87%AD%E5%AE%9A%E5%88%B6QQ%E5%BE%AE%E4%BF%A1229%208881%E5%81%9AAthabascaU%E7%95%99%E4%BF%A1%E7%BD%91%E6%95%99%E7%95%99%E6%9C%8D%E8%AE%A4%E8%AF%81%E6%B5%B7%E7%89%99%E8%AE%A4%E8%AF%81%E6%94%B9AU%E6%88%90%E7%BB%A9%E5%8D%95GPA%E5%81%9AAU%E5%81%87%E5%AD%A6%E4%BD%8D%E8%AF%81%E5%81%87%E6%96%87%E5%87%AD%E9%AB%98%E4%BB%BF%E6%AF%95%E4%B8%9A%E8%AF%81%E7%94%B3%E8%AF%B7%E9%98%BF%E8%90%A8%E5%B7%B4%E6%96%AF%E5%8D%A1%E5%A4%A7%E5%AD%A6Athabasca%20University%20degree%20offer%20diploma%20Transcrip,pOs
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